Ana Marie Cox
by Ana Marie Cox
Newt Gingrich’s declaration this week that “the Republican party today is incapable of competing” against Hillary Clinton should she run for president is, most of all, a statement about Newt Gingrich. That he made the pronouncement on NBC’s Meet the Press was an indication of just how adrift his party is.
The line is a testament to his genius for self-promotion and his ability to attach himself to prevailing winds. I’ve always presumed that Gingrich would be an excellent ambassador to his predicted lunar colony primarily because he only needs publicity, not oxygen, to breathe.
But what does the quote say about Hillary Clinton? Not as much as progressives might hope. Post-giddiness has given way to an atmosphere among Democrats that magnifies all signs of Republican collapse, from the would-be “banishment” of Karl Rove at Fox to the diminishment of Grover Norquist. To be sure, the GOP is struggling with both identity and popularity at the moment, but the operative concept in Gingrich’s formulation isn’t either party but “today”.
Today, the GOP is incapable of beating Hillary, but that doesn’t really matter. Besides, she’s been inevitable before. Indeed, James Carville’s quip on the show – that Democrats “don’t need a primary. Let’s just go to post with this thing” – might just be an indication of his memory for the last time she was a sure thing more than it is a statement of confidence in it this time around. In 2007, she went from inevitable to indefatigable into a period of incredulousness; she was the leader of a presidential primary run so ruthless and mathematically improbable it makes you wonder if she’s given Mitt Romney a condolence call yet.
Remember that? The desperation and lead-footed feints of the too-long-to-die Clinton campaign? Remember the denial of her most fervent supporters, who couldn’t believe they’d been outstripped by this newcomer, this stranger with a murky past and murkier ideology? (“Birthism”, it may pain you to remember, started with Hillary die-hards.) He must have cheated somehow. The media had it rigged in his favor from the start, anyway.
It sounds familiar, no? Yet out of that mean-spirited funk rose one of the most popular and visible secretaries of state in modern times. Looking at Hillary’s shift from sore loser to next-in-line, one wonders if the way for the GOP to succeed in beating Clinton is learn from her. There are limits to how much a party can emulate a person, of course. It cannot retire to Chappaqua or grow its hair out.
But there are some clues from Hillary’s journey that Republicans – certainly individually, if not as a party – can follow.
1. Start now. Hillary’s speech at the 2008 convention threw all in for Obama and at the same time celebrated the idea of “never stopping”. There’s a tradition of coyness in presidential runs that runs right through to Hillary today, but if the GOP wants to dramatically change its fortunes, why not be dramatic? Encourage hopefuls to announce their intentions, let the American people start to get to know who they are, especially if those contenders put themselves in the public eye via their work and not media appearances. Which brings us to:
2. Create policy, not catchphrases. Clinton gives good speeches. Not great speeches, and she probably realises that. Her rise as secretary of state hasn’t been on the back of rhetoric (unlike some presidents I could name), but distinct actions. It’s another tradition for would-be candidates to do tours of various thinktanks and conferences to get themselves in the public eye; Hillary has gained popularity by doing most of her work outside of it. This strategy, applied to GOP candidates, would restrict the field to elected officials and government appointees – which might not be a bad idea for the party to consider. (Cough) Herman Cain (cough).
3. You are not your supporters. Or: lead, don’t follow. The Clinton example here is her deft handling of those disgruntled supporters: she praised their loyalty but didn’t exhibit the desire let their loyalty determine her actions. And she didn’t try to bribe or cajole them into staying with her once she started in a direction they didn’t like. This is how the GOP should approach the Tea Party: So long convinced that it is the sole source of conservative “momentum,” the Republican party seems unwilling to risk seeking support form a more, well, stable base.
The Guardian
by Ana Marie Cox
Newt Gingrich’s declaration this week that “the Republican party today is incapable of competing” against Hillary Clinton should she run for president is, most of all, a statement about Newt Gingrich. That he made the pronouncement on NBC’s Meet the Press was an indication of just how adrift his party is.
The line is a testament to his genius for self-promotion and his ability to attach himself to prevailing winds. I’ve always presumed that Gingrich would be an excellent ambassador to his predicted lunar colony primarily because he only needs publicity, not oxygen, to breathe.
But what does the quote say about Hillary Clinton? Not as much as progressives might hope. Post-giddiness has given way to an atmosphere among Democrats that magnifies all signs of Republican collapse, from the would-be “banishment” of Karl Rove at Fox to the diminishment of Grover Norquist. To be sure, the GOP is struggling with both identity and popularity at the moment, but the operative concept in Gingrich’s formulation isn’t either party but “today”.
Today, the GOP is incapable of beating Hillary, but that doesn’t really matter. Besides, she’s been inevitable before. Indeed, James Carville’s quip on the show – that Democrats “don’t need a primary. Let’s just go to post with this thing” – might just be an indication of his memory for the last time she was a sure thing more than it is a statement of confidence in it this time around. In 2007, she went from inevitable to indefatigable into a period of incredulousness; she was the leader of a presidential primary run so ruthless and mathematically improbable it makes you wonder if she’s given Mitt Romney a condolence call yet.
Remember that? The desperation and lead-footed feints of the too-long-to-die Clinton campaign? Remember the denial of her most fervent supporters, who couldn’t believe they’d been outstripped by this newcomer, this stranger with a murky past and murkier ideology? (“Birthism”, it may pain you to remember, started with Hillary die-hards.) He must have cheated somehow. The media had it rigged in his favor from the start, anyway.
It sounds familiar, no? Yet out of that mean-spirited funk rose one of the most popular and visible secretaries of state in modern times. Looking at Hillary’s shift from sore loser to next-in-line, one wonders if the way for the GOP to succeed in beating Clinton is learn from her. There are limits to how much a party can emulate a person, of course. It cannot retire to Chappaqua or grow its hair out.
But there are some clues from Hillary’s journey that Republicans – certainly individually, if not as a party – can follow.
1. Start now. Hillary’s speech at the 2008 convention threw all in for Obama and at the same time celebrated the idea of “never stopping”. There’s a tradition of coyness in presidential runs that runs right through to Hillary today, but if the GOP wants to dramatically change its fortunes, why not be dramatic? Encourage hopefuls to announce their intentions, let the American people start to get to know who they are, especially if those contenders put themselves in the public eye via their work and not media appearances. Which brings us to:
2. Create policy, not catchphrases. Clinton gives good speeches. Not great speeches, and she probably realises that. Her rise as secretary of state hasn’t been on the back of rhetoric (unlike some presidents I could name), but distinct actions. It’s another tradition for would-be candidates to do tours of various thinktanks and conferences to get themselves in the public eye; Hillary has gained popularity by doing most of her work outside of it. This strategy, applied to GOP candidates, would restrict the field to elected officials and government appointees – which might not be a bad idea for the party to consider. (Cough) Herman Cain (cough).
3. You are not your supporters. Or: lead, don’t follow. The Clinton example here is her deft handling of those disgruntled supporters: she praised their loyalty but didn’t exhibit the desire let their loyalty determine her actions. And she didn’t try to bribe or cajole them into staying with her once she started in a direction they didn’t like. This is how the GOP should approach the Tea Party: So long convinced that it is the sole source of conservative “momentum,” the Republican party seems unwilling to risk seeking support form a more, well, stable base.
The Guardian
