A view of the Grand Hamad Street, in Doha.
TQatar’s banking system could see more consolidation triggered by pressure on banks’ profitability from the coronavirus pandemic, particularly those with weaker franchises and limited pricing power, said Fitch Ratings yesterday. Common government ownership is also a key driver for consolidation to create better capitalised banks with enhanced competitive advantages to support the Qatar Vision 2030 development plan.
Al Khalij Commercial Bank (AKCB) and Islamic bank Masraf Al Rayan’s (MAR) recently agreed merger will potentially create Qatar’s largest Islamic bank by total assets and diversify MAR’s business model, which is predominantly wholesale focused (85 percent of total financing). This will be the second merger in Qatar between an Islamic bank and a conventional bank after Islamic bank Dukhan and International Bank of Qatar (IBQ) merged in April 2019.
Despite a weaker economic environment and expected downward pressure on valuations from the impact of the pandemic, AKCB was valued at QR8.2bn (based on the closing share price on January 5 ), representing 1.14x its tangible book value, compared with 1.027x tangible book value for IBQ (A/Stable/bb+ pre-merger). This reflects AKCB’s adequate capitalisation (end-3Q20: common equity Tier 1 ratio of 14.8% against 8.5% regulatory minimum) and private banking niche, an important addition to MAR’s business model and funding franchise.
MAR (the surviving entity) will have a larger funding capacity (QR147bn combined non-equity funding) to finance additional government projects. This could further increase MAR’s exposure to government and government-related entities, which represented 47% of its financing book at end-3Q20, but would support the bank’s asset quality. The combined entity is set to be well-capitalised with a leverage ratio of about 12%, although one-off integration costs could weaken capital.
The merger should strengthen MAR’s private banking funding franchise, which could reduce the bank’s high reliance on wholesale funding, particularly short-term placements, and lower its loans-to-deposits ratio, which is one of the highest in the market. Dukhan’s merger with IBQ boosted the proportion of retail and private banking deposits (43% of total deposits at end-1H20) in its overall funding. However, the bank still lacks stable long-term funding and is yet to meet the 100% Net Stable Funding Ratio regulatory requirement.
Further Qatari bank mergers could generate cost synergies that alleviate pressure on profitability from compressed financing margins and higher loan impairment charges due to the pandemic.
