QE declines; most GCC bourses slip

January 22, 2013 - 4:08:51 am

Dubai: Qatar Exchange (QE) slipped yesterday 17.28 points or 0.20 percent to 8,608.05 points from the previous closing while Abu Dhabi’s Sorouh Real Estate jumped to a 25-month high after the company reached a long-awaited merger agreement with Aldar Properties.

Trading volumes for both Sorouh and Aldar, Abu Dhabi’s two biggest property developers, hit record highs. Both stocks had more than doubled in price over the past year in anticipation of the merger, and while the terms of the deal looked positive for Sorouh shareholders, they prompted heavy profit-taking in Aldar.

Sorouh jumped 4.3 percent to close at Dh1.70, its highest level since December 2010; they hit a high of 1.87 dirhams in early trade. Aldar plunged 9.8 percent.

Sorouh shareholders will receive 1.288 Aldar shares for every share in Sorouh, which will be de-listed once the merger, which is subject to shareholder approval, is completed, the companies said yesterday. 

“The official announcement highlights a ratio that on paper is favourable to Sorouh shareholders, and the valuation is obviously a reflection of the quality of the respective underlying assets,” said Akber Naqvi, hedge fund portfolio manager at Al Masah Capital. 

Ali Adou, portfolio manager at The National Investor, said: “Sorouh’s shareholders are being given an incentive to hold more shares in the new company, while Aldar shareholders will be diluted.”

NBK Capital observed in a research note that based on Sunday’s close, the merger plan valued Sorouh at Dh2.10 per share.

“On the face of it, this is actually quite a good deal for the Sorouh minority shareholder, since our fair value for Sorouh as a standalone company amounts to 2.33 dirhams per share,” it said, adding: “Given the uncertainties surrounding the still-declining Abu Dhabi real estate market, a discount of just 10 percent to our fair value does not seem unreasonable.” 

Including the impact of Abu Dhabi’s financial support for Sorouh in the merger, the company’s fair value is even higher, at Dh3.24 per share, NBK added.

Abu Dhabi’s benchmark slipped 0.1 percent, easing from Sunday’s 26-month high.

Dubai’s measure shed 0.3 percent to end at 1,786 points, down from Sunday’s 32-month closing high, after the index tested and failed on Sunday to break major chart resistance between 1,778 points, the 2012 high hit in March last year, and the October 2010 peak of 1,793 points. 

Trading volumes were thin, however, which may suggest that many investors are unwilling to sell because they think the resistance could be broken in coming days or weeks.

Major property developer Emaar Properties rose 2.1 percent to a fresh multi-year high, however, after the Al Ittihad newspaper quoted UAE central bank governor Sultan Nasser Al Suweidi as saying authorities would not impose limits on mortgage lending without consulting commercial banks, and that any new rules were not imminent.

His remarks appeared to show the central bank, after fierce protests from commercial banks, was backing away from caps on residential mortgage lending that it announced just weeks ago. There was no confirmation of the report. 

In Saudi Arabia, weak earnings soured sentiment, dragging the market to its lowest in nearly three weeks.